Calculator overview
Inputs and outputs
This summary comes from the calculator's published input and output contract.
Inputs
- ARR Life Model
-
Default Weibull Allowed Exponential, Weibull
About this input
Exponential fixes shape at one; Weibull uses the entered shape.
- ARR Time Unit
-
Default Hours Allowed Hours, Days, Cycles
About this input
Interpretation unit for scale life, exposure, mission, and projected life. Values are not converted.
- ARR Activation Energy eV
-
Unit eV Default 0.7 Range 0 to 10
About this input
Mechanism-specific activation energy supplied by the analyst. The upper bound is a disclosed numerical safeguard.
- ARR Test Temperature C
-
Unit °C Default 125 Range -273.149999 to 2000
About this input
Accelerated-test temperature, strictly above absolute zero.
- ARR Use Temperature C
-
Unit °C Default 55 Range -273.149999 to 2000
About this input
Intended use-condition temperature, strictly above absolute zero.
- Test-condition characteristic life η
-
Unit hours Default 1000 Range 1E-09 to 1E+15
About this input
MTTF in Exponential mode or characteristic life eta in Weibull mode.
- ARR Weibull Shape Conditional
-
Unit dimensionless Default 1.5 Range 0.1 to 16
About this input
Weibull shape, used only in Weibull mode and assumed unchanged by true acceleration.
- ARR Test Exposure
-
Unit hours Default 168 Range 0 to 1E+15
About this input
Actual accelerated-condition exposure to convert into use-equivalent exposure.
- ARR Use Mission Time
-
Unit hours Default 100 Range 0 to 1E+15
About this input
Use-condition mission at which reliability is projected.
Outputs
- ARR Log Acceleration Factor
-
Unit dimensionless
About this output
Logarithmic acceleration factor, retained for numerical transparency.
- ARR Acceleration Factor
-
Unit dimensionless
About this output
Use-condition life divided by test-condition life.
- Projected use-condition characteristic life η
-
Unit hours
About this output
Projected use-condition MTTF or characteristic life.
- ARR Equivalent Use Exposure
-
Unit hours
About this output
Test exposure multiplied by the acceleration factor.
- ARR Mission Reliability
-
Unit fraction
About this output
Exponential or Weibull mission survival at the projected use-condition scale.
- ARR Mission Failure Probability
-
Unit fraction
About this output
One minus use-condition mission reliability.
- ARR B10 Life
-
Unit hours
About this output
Projected use-condition life to 10% cumulative failure.
- ARR Median Life
-
Unit hours
About this output
Projected use-condition life to 50% cumulative failure.
- Model Status
-
No unit declared
About this output
CHECK flags non-accelerating temperature direction or zero activation energy; NOT VALID flags domain/overflow guards.
Methodology
Purpose and model boundary
This model projects an entered test-condition life scale to a use temperature with an Arrhenius acceleration relationship. It then evaluates exponential or two-parameter Weibull mission reliability. It evaluates user-supplied life-model parameters; it does not select an activation energy, fit a distribution, or establish that the same failure mechanism applies at both temperatures.
Inputs and units
The user chooses exponential or Weibull life and a consistent time unit. Required inputs are activation energy ΔH in electron-volts, test and use temperatures in degrees Celsius, test-condition scale life, test exposure, and use-condition mission time. Weibull mode also uses shape β; exponential mode uses β = 1 internally.
Governing relationships
Temperatures are converted with T_K = T_C + 273.15. Using the Boltzmann constant k = 8.617333262145 × 10^-5 eV/K, the workbook calculates:
ln(AF) = (ΔH / k) × (1 / T_use,K - 1 / T_test,K)
AF = exp(ln(AF))
η_use = η_test × AF
equivalent use exposure = test exposure × AF
For mission time t, with β = 1 for the exponential model:
R(t) = exp[-(t / η_use)^β]
F(t) = 1 - R(t)
B10 = η_use × [-ln(0.9)]^(1/β)
median = η_use × [ln(2)]^(1/β)
The workbook evaluates these expressions in logarithmic form where necessary and clips extreme mission exponents to stable probability endpoints. The chart reports log10(AF) over temperature; it is equation-derived sensitivity, not measured data.
Calculation sequence
- Validate selections, active Weibull shape, temperatures above absolute zero, life scale, exposure, and mission time.
- Calculate
ln(AF)and reject acceleration, life-scale, or exposure exponents outside the workbook's supported log range. - Convert the valid log factor into acceleration, projected scale life, and equivalent use exposure.
- Evaluate mission survival, failure probability, B10, and median life.
- Evaluate
Model_Statusin the exact order shown below.
Outputs and interpretation
Headline outputs are acceleration factor, projected use-condition scale life, and mission reliability. Supporting values expose the logarithmic factor, equivalent use exposure, failure probability, B10, and median life. A large acceleration factor is a consequence of the entered assumptions, not independent evidence that the extrapolation is credible.
Validation and status logic
| Condition, evaluated in order | Returned status |
|---|---|
| A selection, active shape, temperature, life scale, exposure, mission time, or combined exponent violates the workbook domain | NOT VALID |
| Test temperature is less than or equal to use temperature | CHECK |
| Activation energy is zero | CHECK |
| None of the preceding conditions applies | OK |
This precedence is taken from the workbook Validation!B20 formula. Invalid states return protected zero numeric outputs and must not be interpreted as physical zeroes.
Assumptions and limitations
- The same dominant failure mechanism and life distribution apply at test and use conditions.
- Temperature is the relevant accelerating stress; humidity, voltage, cycling, interactions, and changing mechanisms are outside scope.
- True acceleration changes distribution scale while Weibull shape remains unchanged.
- Activation energy is a user-supplied engineering assumption; no material or mechanism lookup table is included.
- The workbook evaluates parameters and does not fit them, test goodness of fit, or quantify parameter uncertainty.
- Long extrapolations can be extremely sensitive to small temperature or activation-energy errors.
Restrictions and non-computing states
Both Celsius temperatures must be strictly above absolute zero. Scale life and Weibull shape must be positive and all active values must stay within the published limits. The workbook also rejects individually valid values whose combined logarithmic exponent would overflow its supported numeric range.
Errors and warnings
NOT VALID blocks interpretation. CHECK leaves arithmetic available but identifies a non-accelerating temperature direction or zero activation energy. A connection or calculation-service failure is not an Arrhenius finding.
References
The equations, logarithmic safeguards, active-input rules, named outputs, and status precedence were verified directly against the delivered workbook, its published input rules, tests, and reviewer packet. The workbook identifies these technical sources:
- NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook — Arrhenius acceleration — Arrhenius acceleration-factor equation and applicability.
- NIST — Physical acceleration relationships — Scale-life projection and unchanged Weibull shape under true acceleration.
- NIST SI Units — Temperature — Exact Celsius-to-kelvin offset.
- NIST/CODATA fundamental constants — Boltzmann constant in electron-volts per kelvin.
Found a problem, or have an idea?
Tell us if a result looks wrong, a label is unclear, or something is missing. We read every message.
LogicCommons is in beta. If a result, label, or reference looks wrong, tell us here; we read every message.