Engineering · Reliability and Maintenance Engineering · Accelerated-life projection

Arrhenius Accelerated Life Calculator

Projects an entered test-condition life parameter to a use temperature with the Arrhenius acceleration model and an exponential or Weibull life distribution.

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Calculator overview

Inputs and outputs

This summary comes from the calculator's published input and output contract.

Inputs

ARR Life Model
About this input

Exponential fixes shape at one; Weibull uses the entered shape.

Default Weibull Allowed Exponential, Weibull
ARR Time Unit
About this input

Interpretation unit for scale life, exposure, mission, and projected life. Values are not converted.

Default Hours Allowed Hours, Days, Cycles
ARR Activation Energy eV
About this input

Mechanism-specific activation energy supplied by the analyst. The upper bound is a disclosed numerical safeguard.

Unit eV Default 0.7 Range 0 to 10
ARR Test Temperature C
About this input

Accelerated-test temperature, strictly above absolute zero.

Unit °C Default 125 Range -273.149999 to 2000
ARR Use Temperature C
About this input

Intended use-condition temperature, strictly above absolute zero.

Unit °C Default 55 Range -273.149999 to 2000
Test-condition characteristic life η
About this input

MTTF in Exponential mode or characteristic life eta in Weibull mode.

Unit hours Default 1000 Range 1E-09 to 1E+15
ARR Weibull Shape Conditional
About this input

Weibull shape, used only in Weibull mode and assumed unchanged by true acceleration.

Unit dimensionless Default 1.5 Range 0.1 to 16
ARR Test Exposure
About this input

Actual accelerated-condition exposure to convert into use-equivalent exposure.

Unit hours Default 168 Range 0 to 1E+15
ARR Use Mission Time
About this input

Use-condition mission at which reliability is projected.

Unit hours Default 100 Range 0 to 1E+15

Outputs

ARR Log Acceleration Factor
About this output

Logarithmic acceleration factor, retained for numerical transparency.

Unit dimensionless
ARR Acceleration Factor
About this output

Use-condition life divided by test-condition life.

Unit dimensionless
Projected use-condition characteristic life η
About this output

Projected use-condition MTTF or characteristic life.

Unit hours
ARR Equivalent Use Exposure
About this output

Test exposure multiplied by the acceleration factor.

Unit hours
ARR Mission Reliability
About this output

Exponential or Weibull mission survival at the projected use-condition scale.

Unit fraction
ARR Mission Failure Probability
About this output

One minus use-condition mission reliability.

Unit fraction
ARR B10 Life
About this output

Projected use-condition life to 10% cumulative failure.

Unit hours
ARR Median Life
About this output

Projected use-condition life to 50% cumulative failure.

Unit hours
Model Status
About this output

CHECK flags non-accelerating temperature direction or zero activation energy; NOT VALID flags domain/overflow guards.

No unit declared

Methodology

Purpose and model boundary

This model projects an entered test-condition life scale to a use temperature with an Arrhenius acceleration relationship. It then evaluates exponential or two-parameter Weibull mission reliability. It evaluates user-supplied life-model parameters; it does not select an activation energy, fit a distribution, or establish that the same failure mechanism applies at both temperatures.

Inputs and units

The user chooses exponential or Weibull life and a consistent time unit. Required inputs are activation energy ΔH in electron-volts, test and use temperatures in degrees Celsius, test-condition scale life, test exposure, and use-condition mission time. Weibull mode also uses shape β; exponential mode uses β = 1 internally.

Governing relationships

Temperatures are converted with T_K = T_C + 273.15. Using the Boltzmann constant k = 8.617333262145 × 10^-5 eV/K, the workbook calculates:

ln(AF) = (ΔH / k) × (1 / T_use,K - 1 / T_test,K)

AF = exp(ln(AF))

η_use = η_test × AF

equivalent use exposure = test exposure × AF

For mission time t, with β = 1 for the exponential model:

R(t) = exp[-(t / η_use)^β]

F(t) = 1 - R(t)

B10 = η_use × [-ln(0.9)]^(1/β)

median = η_use × [ln(2)]^(1/β)

The workbook evaluates these expressions in logarithmic form where necessary and clips extreme mission exponents to stable probability endpoints. The chart reports log10(AF) over temperature; it is equation-derived sensitivity, not measured data.

Calculation sequence

  1. Validate selections, active Weibull shape, temperatures above absolute zero, life scale, exposure, and mission time.
  2. Calculate ln(AF) and reject acceleration, life-scale, or exposure exponents outside the workbook's supported log range.
  3. Convert the valid log factor into acceleration, projected scale life, and equivalent use exposure.
  4. Evaluate mission survival, failure probability, B10, and median life.
  5. Evaluate Model_Status in the exact order shown below.

Outputs and interpretation

Headline outputs are acceleration factor, projected use-condition scale life, and mission reliability. Supporting values expose the logarithmic factor, equivalent use exposure, failure probability, B10, and median life. A large acceleration factor is a consequence of the entered assumptions, not independent evidence that the extrapolation is credible.

Validation and status logic

Condition, evaluated in order Returned status
A selection, active shape, temperature, life scale, exposure, mission time, or combined exponent violates the workbook domain NOT VALID
Test temperature is less than or equal to use temperature CHECK
Activation energy is zero CHECK
None of the preceding conditions applies OK

This precedence is taken from the workbook Validation!B20 formula. Invalid states return protected zero numeric outputs and must not be interpreted as physical zeroes.

Assumptions and limitations

  • The same dominant failure mechanism and life distribution apply at test and use conditions.
  • Temperature is the relevant accelerating stress; humidity, voltage, cycling, interactions, and changing mechanisms are outside scope.
  • True acceleration changes distribution scale while Weibull shape remains unchanged.
  • Activation energy is a user-supplied engineering assumption; no material or mechanism lookup table is included.
  • The workbook evaluates parameters and does not fit them, test goodness of fit, or quantify parameter uncertainty.
  • Long extrapolations can be extremely sensitive to small temperature or activation-energy errors.

Restrictions and non-computing states

Both Celsius temperatures must be strictly above absolute zero. Scale life and Weibull shape must be positive and all active values must stay within the published limits. The workbook also rejects individually valid values whose combined logarithmic exponent would overflow its supported numeric range.

Errors and warnings

NOT VALID blocks interpretation. CHECK leaves arithmetic available but identifies a non-accelerating temperature direction or zero activation energy. A connection or calculation-service failure is not an Arrhenius finding.

References

The equations, logarithmic safeguards, active-input rules, named outputs, and status precedence were verified directly against the delivered workbook, its published input rules, tests, and reviewer packet. The workbook identifies these technical sources:

This page is provided by LogicCommons for informational purposes only. Results are analysis outputs computed from the inputs you supply and are not engineering advice, a design, or a substitute for review by a licensed professional under the codes adopted where the work is built. Verify all inputs and results independently.

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