finance-business · personal-finance · education-family

Cost of Raising a Child Calculator

Rebuilds what one child costs from the age you enter through 17 out of the published survey's own parts, the age band, the household income group, the region and the adjustment for how many children there are, and states it both in today's dollars and in the dollars of each year the money is spent, split into the seven things it goes on. Use it to replace a single national headline with a figure for your own household, and to see how much of the total is the early years, the later ones and inflation.

Last updated

Calculator overview

Inputs and outputs

This summary comes from the calculator's published input and output contract.

Inputs

Extra Annual Spend
When omitted Blank
About this input

Optional. Anything this household spends on the child each year that the survey's profile does not already carry, such as private school fees, a sport or an instrument. Leave it blank if there is nothing, and it reads as nothing. It is added to every year counted and is carried forward at the same inflation rate as everything else, so entering a fee that will only be paid for a few years overstates the total.

Unit $/year Default Not set Range 0 to 20000
Household Income (required)
About this input

Your household's income before tax, for the year. It does not add anything to the cost; it decides which of the three income groups the survey measured your household falls in, and each group has its own published total. The step between the groups is large, so a small change near a boundary can move the answer and a large change inside one group will not move it at all. The survey measured nothing above its top group, and an income above that is answered with the top group's figures rather than extrapolated.

Unit $/year Default 87460 Range 0 to 2000000
Region (required)
About this input

Where the household lives. The survey published a separate spending profile for each of five areas and for the country as a whole, one for each income group, and every year of this calculation reads yours. The difference between them is large: the urban Northeast spent about 27 percent more on a child than rural areas did. Much of that gap is housing and child care. If none of the five fits, the national average is the honest choice.

Default National average Allowed National average, Urban Northeast, Urban West, Urban Midwest, Urban South, Rural
Child Age (required)
About this input

How old the child is now, in whole years. Everything is counted from this age through 17, so a newborn gives eighteen years and a seventeen-year-old gives one. Older children cost more per year than younger ones, so a total for an older child is smaller than a newborn's but its average year is larger.

Unit years Default 0 Range 0 to 17
Children (required)
About this input

How many children are in the household, including this one. It changes what this one child costs, because the survey found real economies of scale: an only child costs 27 percent more than a child in a two child family, and where there are three or more each one costs 24 percent less. Four, five and six carry the same adjustment as three, which is as far as the survey went. To get a household total, run each child at their own age and add the results.

Unit count Default 2 Range 1 to 6
Cost Inflation (required)
About this input

How fast you expect these costs to rise each year from now on. It does not touch the figures in today's money at all; it decides the second total, which is what the same spending adds up to in the dollars of the year each amount is actually paid. Around three percent is general consumer inflation; the child specific studies have recorded anything from a fall of two percent in one city to a rise of twenty three percent in another in a single year, so the grid at the foot is worth reading rather than trusting one rate.

Unit fraction Default 0.028 Range 0 to 0.08

Outputs

Table1 Cost Corner
About this output

Machinery. Excel requires the formula being tabulated to sit in the grid's top-left corner, where it means nothing to a reader, so it is formatted away. It holds Total_Cost_Nominal.

Unit currency
Table1 Cost Row Axis
About this output

The values down the left of the grid: the household income before tax, in steps of ten thousand either side of yours and never below nothing. Read a row to hold the income fixed and vary the inflation rate. The middle entry is your own income. The totals change in steps rather than smoothly down this axis, because the survey measured three income groups and nothing between them.

No unit declared
Table1 Cost Row Input
About this output

Machinery, and NOT an input. Excel substitutes each value from the row axis into this cell while it fills the grid; the rest of the time it mirrors Household_Income. Change Household_Income above, never this: the axis is derived from it, so editing the mirror moves the axis while the table walks and the grid comes out meaningless.

Unit currency/yr
Region Factor
About this output

What the region is worth: that region's published middle-income total divided by the national one. It runs from 0.83 for rural areas to 1.13 for the urban Northeast. It is shown for comparison rather than applied, because each year reads the survey's own profile for your area and income group. The published regional spread is narrower than the spread between individual cities that later studies measured, so treat it as a broad adjustment rather than a local price.

Unit x
Table1 Cost Column Axis
About this output

The values across the top of the grid: the cost inflation rate, in half-point steps either side of yours and never below nothing. Read a column to hold the rate fixed and vary the income. The middle entry is your own rate, and a very low rate makes the floor repeat near the left of this axis, which is the grid running out of room rather than an error.

No unit declared
Table1 Cost Column Input
About this output

Machinery, and NOT an input. The same for the column axis: Excel substitutes into it while filling the grid, and the rest of the time it mirrors Cost_Inflation.

Unit fraction
Total Cost Today
About this output

What the years from this child's age through 17 come to, with every year priced in today's money. This is the figure to compare with a published headline, because published headlines are stated in the money of one year. It excludes college, pregnancy and birth, and any earnings a parent gives up, and no tax credit is deducted from it.

Unit $
Yearly Cost
About this output

One row for each year from the child's age now through the last age the survey covers: the age, what that year costs in today's money, and what it costs in the dollars of the year it is spent. Years outside that range are blank rather than zero, because a zero would read as a year that cost nothing.

No unit declared
Years Modelled
About this output

How many years are being counted: from the child's age now through the last age the survey covers, so a newborn gives eighteen and a seventeen-year-old gives one. Every total on this sheet covers exactly these years and nothing outside them.

Unit years
Table1 Cost Values
About this output

The body of the grid: the total in the dollars of each year, worked out again for every combination of the two axes. One hundred and twenty-one cells, each one the whole calculation run again. It is a component of the grid rather than a result on its own.

Unit currency
Tier Factor
About this output

What the income group is worth in your area: that group's published total for the area divided by the area's middle group's. The lower group spent about three quarters of the middle group's figure on a child and the higher group about half as much again, but the ratio differs from one area to another, which is why each year reads the survey's own profile for your area and group rather than multiplying by this figure. It is a measurement of what families did spend, not a statement about what a child needs.

Unit x
Total Cost Nominal
About this output

The same years priced in the dollars of the year each amount is actually spent, so it carries the inflation rate as well. It is the larger of the two totals whenever the rate is above nothing, and the gap between them is what inflation alone adds over the years remaining. It is not a forecast: it is the arithmetic of the rate entered, and the grid at the foot shows how much that one assumption is worth.

Unit $
Cost Clothing
About this output

The clothing share of the total in today's money. It is the smallest of the seven categories, which surprises most readers and is one of the clearest signs that the total is a measurement rather than an estimate of what a child is thought to need.

Unit $
Cost Food
About this output

The food share of the total in today's money. It is one of the categories the survey found rises most with the child's age, which is part of why the later years cost more than the early ones.

Unit $
Cost Health Care
About this output

The health care share of the total in today's money. It covers what the household spent out of its own pocket and through premiums in the survey years, so a household with unusual medical costs should treat it as a floor.

Unit $
Annual Cost Now
About this output

What the year ahead costs, in today's money, at the child's current age. It is the figure most worth checking against your own spending, because it is the only one that describes a year you are living through rather than a sum over many.

Unit $/year
Average Annual Cost Today
About this output

The total in today's money divided by the years counted. It is above the cost of the year ahead for a young child and below it for an older one, because spending rises with age, so the two together say which side of the childhood you are on.

Unit $/year
Cost Childcare Education
About this output

The child care and education share of the total in today's money. Read this one with care: it is an average across the whole of childhood, and the survey itself notes that it is concentrated before a child starts school. Full time care for an infant costs several times this average in a year, so a household with a child under five should price care separately rather than take a share of this.

Unit $
Income Tier
About this output

Which of the three household income groups the survey measured your household falls in, after its own income boundaries have been brought to today's money by the price factor. It reads Lower, Middle or Higher, and together with the region it selects which of the survey's eighteen published profiles every year reads.

No unit declared
Model Status
About this output

Reads OK, or explains why the inputs are not valid or why the answer deserves a second look.

No unit declared
Per Child Factor
About this output

What the number of children is worth as a multiplier on this one child: 1.27 for an only child, 1 for one of two, 0.76 for one of three or more. It is the survey's own measured economy of scale, and leaving it out is why multiplying a single child's figure by three overstates a three child family by roughly a third.

Unit x
Cost Housing
About this output

The housing share of the total in today's money. It is the largest of the seven, and it is worth knowing how the survey measured it: as the average additional cost of one bedroom in the family's home, utilities and furniture included and the same for every age of the child, not as a per-person share of the household's housing, which is the method the series used before 2008. A study that prices only the extra rent one more child causes puts this figure well below the survey's and child care at the top of its list instead, and the two methods must never be mixed in one total.

Unit $
Cost Miscellaneous
About this output

Everything the survey grouped together outside the other six: personal care, entertainment and reading. It is the residue of the published table rather than a category anybody budgets for.

Unit $
Cost Transportation
About this output

The transportation share of the total in today's money. The survey found it highest for a child aged 15 to 17, when driving and activities further from home begin.

Unit $
This page is provided by LogicCommons for informational purposes only. Results are model outputs computed from the inputs you supply and are not financial, investment, tax, accounting, or legal advice, and no advisory relationship is created. Verify all inputs and results independently before relying on them in any decision.

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Methodology

Purpose and model boundary

Use this to replace a single national headline with a figure for your own household. A published national survey of what families actually spend on a child is rebuilt out of its own parts, the age band, the household income group, the region and the survey's own adjustment for how many children there are, and the result is reported twice: in today's money, and in the money of each year the spending actually happens.

It counts the years from the age you enter through the last age the survey covers, and nothing outside them. College, pregnancy and birth, and any earnings a parent gives up are all excluded, because the survey excludes them. No tax credit is taken off. It is a measurement of what families did spend, not a statement of what a child needs.

Inputs and units

Input Unit Accepted range What it means
Child Age years 0 through 17 How old the child is now, in whole years. Everything is counted from this age through the last age the survey covers, so a newborn gives eighteen years and a seventeen-year-old gives one. Older children cost more per year, so a total for an older child is smaller than a newborn's while its average year is larger.
Children count 1 through 6 How many children are in the household, including this one. It changes what this ONE child costs, because the survey found real economies of scale. To get a household total, run each child at their own age and add the results.
Household Income $/year 0 through 2,000,000 Your household's income before tax. It adds nothing to the cost; it decides which of the three income groups the survey measured your household falls in, and each group has its own published spending. The step between groups is large, so a small change near a boundary can move the answer while a large change inside a group will not move it at all.
Region list National average, urban Northeast, urban West, urban Midwest, urban South, rural Where the household lives. The survey published a separate spending profile for each of five areas and for the country as a whole, one per income group. The gap between them is large, and much of it is housing and child care. If none of the five fits, the national average is the honest choice.
Cost Inflation % 0% through 8% How fast you expect these costs to rise each year from now on. It does not touch the figures in today's money at all; it decides the second total.
Extra Annual Spend $/year 0 through 20,000 Optional. Anything this household spends on the child each year that the survey's profile does not already carry, such as school fees, a sport or an instrument. It is added to EVERY year counted and carried forward at the same inflation rate, so a fee that will only be paid for a few years overstates the total.

Governing relationships

The age and the number of children decide how many years are counted and how the per-child figure is adjusted. The region and the income group together select one of the survey's published profiles, and every year of the calculation reads that profile rather than scaling a national one.

Within a profile, the survey publishes a figure for each age band, so the cost of a particular year is the band that year falls in. The bands hold level for three years at a time, which is why the year-by-year picture is a staircase rather than a curve, and the later bands are higher than the early ones, which is why the second half of a childhood costs more than half of the total.

The seven categories are the survey's own split of that spending, and their proportions come from the published table. They do not move when you change the income, the region or the number of children; only the size of the total does.

The number of children is applied as the survey's own measured economy of scale: an only child costs materially more than one of two, and each child in a household of three or more costs materially less. The survey did not measure beyond three, so four, five and six carry the same adjustment as three.

The total in today's money is the sum of those years, plus the extra spending you entered, with no inflation anywhere. The total in each year's money takes the same years and inflates each one to the year it is actually spent. The gap between the two totals is what the inflation rate alone adds over the years remaining.

Calculation sequence

This is the order in which the reported figures depend on one another. It is not a claim about the order in which the model evaluates itself.

  1. Decide the income group from the household income, after the survey's own boundaries are brought to today's money.
  2. Select the published profile for that group and the region entered.
  3. Count the years from the child's current age through the last age the survey covers.
  4. Read the cost of each of those years from the age band it falls in, and add the extra annual spending to each.
  5. Apply the adjustment for the number of children to every year.
  6. Add the years in today's money to get the first total, and divide by the years counted for the average year.
  7. Inflate each year to the year it is actually spent and add them to get the second total.
  8. Split the first total into the survey's seven categories using the published proportions.
  9. Rerun the whole calculation across a grid of incomes and inflation rates, so the sensitivity to each is visible rather than asserted.

Outputs and interpretation

Output Role Unit What it means
Total Cost Today primary $ What the years from this child's age through the last age the survey covers come to, every year priced in today's money. This is the figure to set beside a published headline, because published headlines are stated in the money of one year.
Total Cost Nominal primary $ The same years priced in the money of the year each amount is actually spent. It is the larger of the two whenever the inflation rate is above nothing. It is not a forecast: it is the arithmetic of the rate entered, and the grid at the foot shows how much that one assumption is worth.
Annual Cost Now primary $/year What the year ahead costs, in today's money, at the child's current age. It is the figure most worth checking against your own spending, because it is the only one that describes a year you are living through.
Average Annual Cost Today detail $/year The first total divided by the years counted. It sits above the year ahead for a young child and below it for an older one, so the two together say which side of the childhood you are on.
Years Modelled detail years How many years are being counted. Every total covers exactly these years and nothing outside them.
Income Tier detail text Which of the three income groups the survey measured your household falls in. Together with the region it selects which published profile every year reads.
Region Factor detail multiplier What the region is worth: that region's published middle-group total divided by the national one. It is shown for comparison rather than applied, because each year reads the profile for your own area and group.
Tier Factor detail multiplier What the income group is worth in your area: that group's published total for the area divided by the area's middle group's. Like the region figure, it is shown rather than applied.
Per Child Factor detail multiplier What the number of children is worth as a multiplier on this one child. It is the survey's own measured economy of scale, and it is why multiplying one child's figure by three overstates a three child family.
Cost Housing detail $ The housing share of the first total. It is the largest of the seven, and how large it is follows from the way the survey shares a household's housing out rather than from what a child is separately billed for.
Cost Food detail $ The food share. It is one of the categories the survey found rises most with age, which is part of why the later years cost more.
Cost Childcare Education detail $ The child care and education share. Read this one with care: it is an average across the whole of childhood and is concentrated before a child starts school, so full-time care for an infant costs several times it in a single year.
Cost Transportation detail $ The transportation share. The survey found it highest in the last age band, when driving and activities further from home begin.
Cost Health Care detail $ The health care share. It covers what households spent from their own pocket and through premiums in the survey years, so a household with unusual medical costs should treat it as a floor.
Cost Clothing detail $ The clothing share. It is the smallest of the seven, which surprises most readers and is one of the clearest signs that the total is a measurement rather than an estimate of what a child is thought to need.
Cost Miscellaneous detail $ Everything the survey grouped together outside the other six: personal care, entertainment and reading. It is the residue of the published table rather than a category anybody budgets for.
Yearly Cost detail table One row for each year counted: the age, what that year costs in today's money, and what it costs in the money of the year it is spent. Years outside the range are blank rather than nothing, because nothing would read as a year that cost nothing.

Model Status reads OK, or explains why the inputs are not valid or why the answer deserves a second look before you act on it. It is shown alongside the results rather than in place of them.

The calculator also returns a grid that reruns the whole calculation across a range of incomes and inflation rates at once. Its axes, corner and body arrive as separate values and are the grid's parts rather than results to read on their own; the page assembles them into the table.

Every figure above is returned by the model. The page arranges and formats them; it computes none of them.

Validation and status logic

These are the states the delivery's own recorded runs exercise, so the table records what this calculator has been observed to return rather than every branch it could take.

Condition Returned status
No region has been chosen NOT VALID: choose a region from the list
The child is older than the last age the survey covers NOT VALID: this model counts the years from the age you enter through the last year the survey covers, and at this age there are none left
No child has been entered NOT VALID: enter at least one child; every figure here is stated per child and there is no child to state it for
The inflation rate entered is far above anything recently measured CHECK: a cost inflation rate this high is well above anything measured in the last decade, and the nominal total climbs steeply with it
The household income is above the top group the survey measured CHECK: this household income is above the top of the group the survey measured, so the figures are that group's and not an extrapolation above it
None of the preceding conditions applies OK

Assumptions and limitations

  • Every figure comes from one published survey of household spending, and the survey's own boundaries are this calculator's boundaries. It excludes college, pregnancy and birth, and the earnings a parent gives up.
  • The survey's spending profiles were measured over a set of years and brought to today's money by a price index. They are not a forecast and they are not this year's prices.
  • The category proportions are the survey's and do not move with your income, your region or the number of children. Only the size of the total moves.
  • The regional profiles are broad areas. The spread between individual cities that later studies measured is wider than the spread between these areas, so treat the region as a broad adjustment rather than a local price.
  • Above the top income group the survey measured, the top group's figures are used rather than extrapolated, and the status line says so.
  • The child care and education figure is an average across the whole of childhood. A household with a child under five should price care separately rather than take a share of it.
  • Anything you add as extra spending is added to every year counted and inflated with everything else.

Restrictions and non-computing states

This calculator enforces the numeric limits recorded above before any figure is worked out, so a value outside them is refused rather than answered.

Where a state has no measurement behind it at all, the model refuses rather than answering on an assumption: a region has to be chosen rather than falling back on the national average, and an age past the last one the survey covers leaves no years to count.

Errors and warnings

NOT VALID means the inputs do not describe a question this calculator can answer, and the figures beside it should not be relied on. CHECK is not an error: the arithmetic is sound and the figures stand, but something about the combination is worth knowing first, such as an income above the top group the survey measured. The status is shown with the results rather than in place of them, so a flagged answer is still a readable one.

A value the page itself refuses, because it falls outside the limits above, is rejected before the calculation is requested and no figures are returned at all. That is different again from a transport or service failure, where the page reports that the result could not be fetched rather than showing a stale or partial one.

References

Every figure on this page is rebuilt from one published survey: the United States Department of Agriculture's Expenditures on Children by Families, 2015, by Mark Lino, Kevin Kuczynski, Nestor Rodriguez and TusaRebecca Schap, Miscellaneous Publication No. 1528-2015. Its headline is the figure most often quoted: "The estimated expense to raise a child from birth through age 17 is $233,610 (in 2015 dollars)" for a two-child, middle-income, married-couple family. The full report is published by the Department.

Four things in it are worth reading before you rely on any calculator built on it, this one included.

It measures spending by seven budgetary components, named in the report as "housing, food, transportation, clothing, health care, child care and education, and miscellaneous goods and services", and it reports "housing accounted for the largest share across income groups, comprising 26 to 33 percent of total expenses on a child", with food and child care and education next for the middle group at 18 and 16 percent.

How each component is shared out between a household and its children is a choice the report makes explicitly. Child-specific spending on clothing, child care and education is assigned to children directly; food and health care are split using other federal survey findings; transportation and miscellaneous spending are split per person; and for housing, "the average cost of an additional bedroom approach was used", so a child is charged the extra housing cost associated with one more bedroom, including "the costs of utilities and furniture associated with the additional bedroom". The report notes that a per person split was used for housing before 2008, and calls the bedroom approach "a conservative estimate".

Its boundaries are stated rather than implied: "these expenditures exclude college costs and other parental expenses on children after age 17", and "Indirect costs involved in child rearing by parents (time costs and foregone earnings and career opportunities) are also not included in the estimates."

And it warns against the single number it is best known for: "Expenses vary considerably by household income level and composition. The large variation in expenditures on children underscores that there is not a standard cost to raise a child in the United States." That is the reason this page asks for your income, your region and how many children you have rather than reporting one headline.

Other researchers measure the same thing differently, by comparing households with children against similar households without them. The report discusses those approaches at length and records that their published results range widely, so totals built on them are not comparable with these and the two should never be mixed.

These sources provide background; they do not supply the calculator's assumptions or certify its result. This calculator is informational and is not financial, investment, or tax advice. Results follow directly from the age, the household and the inflation rate you enter, and a survey of what families did spend is not a statement of what a child needs.

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